Nigel Farage Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

C
Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Farage 60–70%

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

Yes

$32k Vol.
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W
Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?

Yes

$326k Vol.
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2
Ended
N
Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?

No

$28k Vol.
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3
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C
Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory (Lower Farage brackets)

Farage 30%+

$48k Vol.
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3
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C
Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

Farage 20-40%

$269k Vol.
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9
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C
Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface

$749k Vol.
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2
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C
Clacton by-election Winner

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage

$5.7m Vol.
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136
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N
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham

$16.6m Vol.
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130
Ends in 3 months
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Who will Trump talk to in February?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$639k Vol.
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N
Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Kemi Badenoch

$8.7m Vol.
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43
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[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
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5
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C
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Binface 20–30%

$543k Vol.
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8
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#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
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5
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N
Next UK prime minister?

Keir Starmer

$2.4m Vol.
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6
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# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (0-125)

100-124

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What will Trump say during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Thousand / Million / Billion 12+ times

$1.7m Vol.
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103
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W
What will Trump say at the UK state banquet on September 17?

King / Queen 4+ times

$216k Vol.
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46
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# of Farcaster users on Monday?

All · farcaster

# of Farcaster users on Monday?

>25k

$47k Vol.
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EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
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2
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