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Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

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U
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Politics·Iran

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

June 26

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
48
Ended
I
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Politics·Iran

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

June 26

$9.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
404
Ended
T
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?

No

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
T
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?

Politics·Ukraine

Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?

No

$161k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
W
Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?

No

$67k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
T
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?

No

$423k Vol.
$0 Liq.
56
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

Politics·Europe

Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

80–85%

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

Politics·Europe

Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

No 3–6%

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Politics·Europe

Iceland EU referendum passes?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Politics·Trump-Xi Summit

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$426k Vol.
$0 Liq.
82
Ended
U
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Politics·Iran

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No

$2.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
250
Ended
U
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

Politics·Iran

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

June 30

$62.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,194
A
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?

All

Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?

Yes

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
U
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by Friday?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Politics·Nuclear

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Yes

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Politics·Campaign Promises

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

No

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
234
Ended
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Politics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 2026

$12.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
🔥$578k today
Ends in 9 months
U
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?

No

$250k Vol.
$0 Liq.
53
Ended
U
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?

No

$218k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
U
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?

Geopolitics·Iran

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?

No

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

New Negotiations Predictions

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