Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

May 31

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
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I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

April 30

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
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E
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

No

$366k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
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@
@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

Yes

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
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F
Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
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#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
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I
Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
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W
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

April 22

$170k Vol.
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10
M
Malawi Vice President's plane found by Tuesday?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Nuclear

$1.7m Vol.
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391
T
Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

$3.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
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E
EU Election: Which party will win the most seats?

EPP

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
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R
Romania Parliamentary Election

PSD

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
742
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S
Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

NPP

$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
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'
'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' Opening Weekend

>$56m

$187k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
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