Conflict Resolution Predictions & Odds· 214 markets

W
What will Melania say during U.N. Security Council events on March 2?

Conflict / War 3+ times

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
T
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

No

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
234
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

No

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

No

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No

$9.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

No

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9,480
Ended
I
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

No

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
G
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?

Gaza

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
C
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

No

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No

$27.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Yes

$193k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?

Yes

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
U
US x Iran ceasefire before August?

No

$241k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
T
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

No

$56.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
20,361
Ended
W
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Israel

$3.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
130
Ended
C
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?

No

$316k Vol.
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28
Ended