2024 US Presidential Election Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

44%

Yes

$119 Vol.
$500 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$710.2m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$406k today
1,037
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

70%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

17%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

65%

Democratic

$2.4m Vol.
$607k Liq.
94
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

93%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

44%

2

$30k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Baird (R)

$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

41%

Michigan

$6k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

24%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AR-04 House Election Winner

AR-04 House Election Winner

97%

Bruce Westerman (R)

$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$208k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
A
AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

96%

Greg Stanton (D)

$40k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

24%

Yes

$139 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
KY-04 House Election Winner

KY-04 House Election Winner

96%

Ed Gallrein (R)

$46k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

97%

Jake Auchincloss (D)

$48k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month