2024 Republican Iowa Caucus Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

I
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Attorney General Election Winner

Iowa Attorney General Election Winner

65%

Brenna Bird (R)

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Chris McGowan (R)

$41k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

52%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

56%

Ashley Hinson (R)

$583k Vol.
$273k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

84%

Rob Sand (D)

$96k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

50%

Other

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

69%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-03 House Election Winner

IA-03 House Election Winner

77%

Sarah Trone Garriott (D)

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$312k Vol.
$204k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

62%

2

$30k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IA-01 House Election Winner

IA-01 House Election Winner

81%

Christina Bohannan (D)

$32k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

17%

Yes

$20 Vol.
$157 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

57%

3

$11k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$85 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years