2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

82%

Raphael Glucksmann

$62k Vol.
$125k Liq.
12
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

45%

Yes

$119 Vol.
$492 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

47%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$46 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

29%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1286.2m Vol.
$77.2m Liq.
🔥$219k today
839
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

50%

Candidate A

$33k Vol.
$74k Liq.
1
Ends in 26 days
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$206k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

89%

Andy Beshear

$91k Vol.
$817k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$19k Vol.
$154k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

24%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$710.4m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$574k today
1,037
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

94%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

70%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month