2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

79%

Raphael Glucksmann

$60k Vol.
$97k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$119 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

19%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1285.7m Vol.
$77.0m Liq.
🔥$147k today
839
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$140k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

50%

Candidate A

$31k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 28 days
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

3%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

Andy Beshear

$89k Vol.
$370k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$19k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1.2m Vol.
$685k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.7m Vol.
$60.0m Liq.
🔥$92k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

57%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

53%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

19%

Yes

$94k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months