2024 Iowa Caucus Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Chris McGowan (R)

$41k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

59%

Ashley Hinson (R)

$627k Vol.
$161k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

50%

Other

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Attorney General Election Winner

Iowa Attorney General Election Winner

70%

Brenna Bird (R)

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

85%

Rob Sand (D)

$96k Vol.
$48k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

61%

3

$11k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
IA-03 House Election Winner

IA-03 House Election Winner

77%

Sarah Trone Garriott (D)

$11k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

53%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

27%

1.45M-1.5M

$11k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

69%

Lauren Boebert (R)

$41k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-01 House Election Winner

IA-01 House Election Winner

85%

Christina Bohannan (D)

$38k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

57%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

59%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$634 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

94%

Val Hoyle (D)

$23k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Baird (R)

$15k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month