2024 Ballot Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$439k Vol.
$450k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

71%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

43%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
O
OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

94%

Val Hoyle (D)

$23k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
CA-04 House Election Winner

CA-04 House Election Winner

96%

Democratic Party

$14k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Baird (R)

$15k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Chris McGowan (R)

$41k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

98%

Hank Johnson (D)

$48k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

72%

Lauren Boebert (R)

$27k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

95%

Greg Stanton (D)

$40k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

67%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$399 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
MO-04 House Election Winner

MO-04 House Election Winner

93%

Mark Alford (R)

$50k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
PA-04 House Election Winner

PA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Madeleine Dean (D)

$21k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

47%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$379 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$547 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
NV-04 House Election Winner

NV-04 House Election Winner

96%

Steven Horsford (D)

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month