2024 Ballot Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$431 Vol.
$850 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

50%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

42%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Baird (R)

$15k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

95%

Greg Stanton (D)

$40k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

58%

Yes

$339 Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

70%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$591 Vol.
$334 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
K
KY-04 House Election Winner

KY-04 House Election Winner

97%

Ed Gallrein (R)

$46k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

68%

Troy Jackson: ME-Sen

$3k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

97%

Jake Auchincloss (D)

$48k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AR-04 House Election Winner

AR-04 House Election Winner

97%

Bruce Westerman (R)

$24k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OK-04 House Election Winner

OK-04 House Election Winner

96%

Tom Cole (R)

$35k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
TN-04 House Election Winner

TN-04 House Election Winner

98%

Scott DesJarlais (R)

$79k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

64%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month